Electric vehicles have floundered into obscurity more than
once in U.S. history and now they're staging yet another comeback. Regardless
how this latest wave of EVs fares, electrification in its many forms is here to
stay.
Last year was a pivotal year in the history of electrical
vehicles because of the Nissan Leaf and Chevy Volt, which became available in
late 2010. Sales of these cars are small in the scheme of overall
volume and have fallen short of expectations. But EV proponents are quick to
point out the number of EVs sold in their first full year is far more than
first-year sales of Toyota's Prius hybrid.
Electric cars seem to have always been enthusiastically
received by their owners. But today's battery electric vehicles, which use
pricey lithium ion batteries, still remain relatively expensive. Even with
their lower driving costs and lack of tailpipe emissions, analysts expect
electric cars to represent just a small share of total car sales in the years
ahead.
Hybrids ascendant
But electrification isn't all or nothing. More automakers are
offering hybrids in more models. And there are microhybrids, which feature
start-stop technology where a small energy storage device helps power the car
and runs the car's electrical system--lights, cooling, etc.--when the car is
idle. It's only a small step toward cutting oil dependence but microhybrids are
a cheap way to nudge up your fuel efficiency.
Where does that leave pure EVs? Will they sputter out like
the electric cars of the early 1900s, 1970s, and early 2000s? Given the auto
industry's commitment to electric technology, that's unlikely. But knowing what
the adoption curve will be like is impossible given all the forces at play,
including consumer demand, oil prices, government policy, and technology.In the
years ahead we'll also see a wave of plug-in hybrids. The only difference is
that the plug-in hybrid has a larger battery and can run longer on its battery
charge. Regardless of their configuration, hybrids at this point appear quite
durable and an effective way to meet government-mandated mileage standards here
and in other countries.
Electric Autos from Edison to Robots IMAGES
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